· Pure electric vehicle subsidy 2020 or canceled: industry or welcome shuffle

Recently, the national "863" plan energy-saving and new energy vehicles major project master group leader, China Electric Vehicle 100-member executive vice president Ouyang Minggao revealed at the "Internet + car + traffic" summit forum, pure electric vehicle technology The research and development goal is: If the subsidy is cancelled by 2020, pure electric vehicles can compete with fuel vehicles.
Prior to this, Wang Binggang, head of the National 863 “Energy Conservation and New Energy Vehicles” major project supervision consulting expert group, also revealed that 2020 may be the “window” for the cancellation of subsidies for pure electric vehicles.
"The implementation plan for the development of new energy vehicle technology '13th Five-Year Plan' is being formulated, and it has already passed the overall strategic planning layout of the National Science and Technology Expert Group." Ouyang Minggao pointed out that by 2020, the technical research and development target of pure electric vehicles is 100 kilometers of electricity. The consumption is reduced by 20%; after industrialization, the small-sized pure electric car with a driving speed of 200-250 km can compete with the fuel car on the same starting line after the subsidy is cancelled.
In the view of Zhang Panpan, a researcher in the transportation industry, the subsidies for pure electric vehicles should indeed be cancelled in the current stage of development. "The development of China's new energy vehicles is over-reliant on subsidies. Some companies are eager to subsidize dividends. In the absence of the necessary core technologies, they are patching up and rushing to make electric cars, disrupting the formal order of the market and hindering new energy. The healthy development of the automotive industry."
Zhang Panpan believes that electric vehicles need to be put into the market, play their own advantages in a fair competitive environment and gain a firm foothold, and let the market's principle of survival of the fittest determine its development direction.
The news that the hidden dangers of electric vehicles will be cancelled in a few years will undoubtedly cause a strong shock in the industry.
Zhang Panpan told the reporter of the International Finance News that the state subsidies for electric vehicles are indeed too high. These excessive subsidies have caused the development of China's electric vehicle industry to falter.
Take pure electric vehicles as an example, the cruising range is between 150-250 km, the state subsidies about 45,000 yuan, and the local subsidies are about 45,000 yuan. Some cities also have district-level subsidies. Electric vehicles that meet the requirements can also be exempted from purchase tax. Tens of thousands. In this way, every time an enterprise sells such an electric car, it takes about 100,000 yuan or more from the state, and if it sells 100 units, it will get 10 million yuan.
Because of this optimistic dividend, many people have joined the army of electric vehicles. Well, the problem is coming. Between the squid, if some companies are optimistic about this bonus, there is no core technology, how to earn state subsidies by purchasing electric cars quickly through procurement?
Some experts pointed out that the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology originally opened up the new energy vehicle production access mechanism in order to activate the electric vehicle market, but it is by no means an open mouth, and it can be used to build electric vehicles.
The lesson is still in sight. In the past few years, the state encouraged the development of electric vehicles. As a result, various large and medium-sized enterprises have “made a rush” to build electric vehicles, resulting in low core competitiveness and low-level redundant construction.
Although the sales of new energy vehicles in China have soared since last year, the hidden dangers and gaps have gradually become prominent. One of the problems is that the competitiveness of power batteries is not strong.
Wang Zidong, director of the Power Battery Laboratory of the North China Vehicle Research Institute, pointed out to the media that power batteries have become the bottleneck technology for the development of electric vehicles in China. At present, there are many battery research and production enterprises in China, but the overall strength is not strong, the industrial chain is incomplete, and there is no scale benefit. The top four global lithium-ion battery companies are Samsung SDI, Panasonic, LG Chem and Sony. The sales volume of a Samsung SDI company is almost equal to the sum of China's top 10 companies.
Zhang Panpan believes that the state provides high subsidies to promote the development of electric vehicles, but at present, the effect is not ideal, indicating that the problem is not in the funds.
“Before the new energy subsidies were too high, many companies lost their efforts to study hard. The government should encourage more core technology research and development projects and eliminate enterprises that fish in troubled waters.” Zhang Panpan bluntly.
Market potential Despite the problems, the industry is still full of confidence in the future of the electric vehicle market.
"The new energy vehicle market is developing from the demonstration stage to the growth stage, and China is expected to become the world's largest electric vehicle market." Dong Yang, executive vice president and secretary general of the China Automobile Association, pointed out recently.
According to the latest data released by the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, new energy vehicles continue to grow rapidly. From January to July, new energy vehicles produced 95,530 vehicles and sold 89,549 vehicles, an increase of 2.5 times and 2.6 times respectively. In July, sales of new energy vehicles achieved a 3.3-fold year-on-year increase.
Ouyang Minggao predicts that in 2016, China's new energy vehicles are expected to reach the top in the world in terms of industry scale.
Ouyang Minggao believes that China's new energy auto industry has taken three steps. “The first step is the gestation period of the industry, 500 new energy vehicles starting in 2008, demonstrations of various new energy vehicle models in the service areas of large and medium cities. The second step is the introduction period of the industry, new energy buses, Small electric vehicles and plug-in electric cars have entered the market. At present, the sales of electric vehicles account for about 1% of the total sales of our cars, and it is expected to reach about 200,000 by the end of 2015. The third step is the growth period, and we hope to be new around 2020. The lightweight and pure electric cars, fuel cell vehicles and intelligent electric vehicles of the structure will enter the industrialization stage."
The implementation plan for the development of the new energy vehicle technology '13th Five-Year Plan' is under development and has now passed the overall strategic planning layout of the National Science and Technology Expert Group. The goal is to establish a sound electric vehicle power system technology system and industrial chain by 2020. To provide technical support for the realization of new energy vehicles to reach 5 million vehicles." Ouyang Ming Gao said.
However, when talking about the current situation of international automotive intelligent technology and the domestic gap, Ouyang Minggao pointed out that the international smart car is developing rapidly, and the auto-driving technology of auto manufacturers will be basically ready around 2020. China still has a large gap with the international level in terms of technology level, infrastructure planning, policies and testing specifications. During the '13th Five-Year Plan' period, the country will realize China's independent intelligent driving vehicle platform technology as soon as possible through cross-industry and cross-disciplinary collaborative development to cope with the new round of international automotive technology competition.
Ouyang Minggao revealed that the goal in 2020 is to develop a platform technology for intelligentization of new energy vehicles. The level of intelligentization of electric vehicles reaches SAE Level 3, that is, it can be unmanned on highways, and it is necessary to realize hundreds of electric self-driving cars. Demonstration operation of a thousand-class intelligent driving auxiliary electric vehicle.

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